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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63623040507080901005646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#24
27.50.5
23.322.9
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
blue by 1.8
1086
#19
29.31.1
26.225.1
Auto6.3
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Second
4638
#22
21.30.5
17.316.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
red by 4.8
4286
#46
16.61.1
15.914.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Third
4242
#42
17.20.5
18.417.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End7.6
red by 2.5
8592
#49
14.71.1
16.014.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed