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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5467204060801001204557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#12
22.90.5
19.619.1
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End8.4
blue by 6.4
1908
#14
29.30.3
31.130.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End6.9
Second
3274
#56
16.30.5
17.617.1
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
blue by 1.8
8230
#45
18.10.3
16.816.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.6
Third
6326
#44
13.40.5
15.314.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End2.7
blue by 0.8
1719
#43
14.20.3
13.713.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned46%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned