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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions762702040601001201406631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#25
23.70.2
23.323.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End13.0
red by 3.6
1895
#35
20.00.0
16.616.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.9
End4.5
Second
620
#21
20.30.2
20.920.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End12.1
red by 11.8
6194
#59
8.50.0
9.19.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
2199
#51
19.70.2
20.620.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End9.4
red by 12.3
8622
#60
7.40.0
6.06.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed