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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910440601201401608298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#15
30.60.0
26.726.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
blue by 15.5
46.20.8
50.349.5
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End5.7
Second
122
#11
24.80.0
26.026.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
blue by 5.2
30.00.8
28.527.6
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End6.4
Third
1599
#36
23.30.0
24.524.6
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End7.4
red by 7.9
7770
#29
15.40.8
15.714.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned