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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions905920408010012014011974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#1
39.32.3
35.738.0
Auto13.6
Teleop17.6
End8.2
red by 8.0
3136
#30
31.31.0
27.628.6
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End5.4
Second
449
#31
29.12.3
26.428.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End10.1
red by 6.4
116
#33
22.71.0
19.220.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End8.3
Third
6802
#58
18.92.3
18.520.8
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
red by 5.6
2186
#57
13.31.0
12.313.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned