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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75674060801001207494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#13
28.10.0
26.126.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
blue by 1.4
401
#6
29.41.5
28.630.0
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End6.8
Second
4472
#24
27.50.0
22.922.9
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
red by 6.1
4821
#20
21.41.5
19.621.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End3.2
Third
8726
#38
18.80.0
20.720.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End4.5
red by 1.8
6504
#23
17.01.5
15.717.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsEarned