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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8647204060801001205962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#14
29.31.4
30.829.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End6.9
red by 8.6
5587
#26
20.70.9
16.016.9
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End4.7
Second
5804
#32
27.81.4
27.726.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
red by 10.5
4242
#42
17.20.9
17.918.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End7.6
Third
3274
#56
16.31.4
17.115.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
blue by 0.2
4286
#46
16.60.9
14.815.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
63%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsEarned