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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73642040801007691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.6
32.633.2
Auto10.0
Teleop11.3
End10.6
red by 4.0
1262
#41
27.92.0
23.825.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
Second
2199
#51
19.70.6
20.420.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End9.4
blue by 1.7
4638
#22
21.32.0
16.818.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
Third
5549
#55
14.90.6
14.314.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End4.3
blue by 5.4
620
#21
20.32.0
20.722.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned