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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87694060801001208880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.0
33.233.2
Auto10.0
Teleop11.3
End10.6
red by 4.1
5804
#32
27.80.9
26.327.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
Second
1908
#14
29.30.0
29.429.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End6.9
red by 1.8
4472
#24
27.50.9
22.923.8
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
Third
5587
#26
20.70.0
16.916.9
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End4.7
red by 2.6
8230
#45
18.10.9
17.818.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsEarned37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsMissed