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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61452040801005721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#13
28.10.1
26.126.2
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
red by 10.8
4242
#42
17.21.6
18.817.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End7.6
Second
2537
#18
17.60.1
15.816.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End5.1
red by 3.6
3748
#48
13.91.6
16.014.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End4.0
Third
612
#40
13.30.1
13.313.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End7.6
red by 4.8
6194
#59
8.51.6
9.47.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsMissed