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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844802040601001208760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#16
30.30.9
29.530.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End5.7
red by 8.9
4638
#22
21.30.1
18.819.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
Second
122
#11
24.80.9
24.425.2
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
red by 7.4
2068
#53
17.30.1
15.315.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Third
5338
#27
22.70.9
20.221.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End6.2
red by 6.3
3274
#56
16.30.1
15.715.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned