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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578720408010012014044115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#6
29.40.9
30.029.1
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End6.8
blue by 2.1
31.52.0
29.631.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End9.2
Second
116
#33
22.70.9
20.419.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End8.3
blue by 6.5
384
#34
29.22.0
27.429.4
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Third
8622
#60
7.40.9
7.06.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End-0.9
blue by 19.7
4541
#10
27.12.0
20.622.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned