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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8560204010012014010735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#8
34.22.0
28.830.8
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End12.1
red by 14.5
2199
#51
19.71.9
20.919.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End9.4
Second
30.02.0
23.525.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.9
red by 11.1
6802
#58
18.91.9
21.119.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
Third
7429
#17
23.12.0
24.226.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End4.7
red by 6.1
6504
#23
17.01.9
17.215.3
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsMissed