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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57922040801001201401605086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#28
21.00.8
22.421.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.2
End7.8
blue by 18.3
836
#1
39.30.3
39.239.4
Auto13.6
Teleop17.6
End8.2
Second
8726
#38
18.80.8
20.719.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End4.5
blue by 11.8
422
#15
30.60.3
26.326.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
Third
8592
#49
14.70.8
14.914.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 0.3
1727
#52
15.10.3
16.416.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsMissed81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned