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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717155606575808590957858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#10
27.10.8
22.523.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.2
blue by 3.2
5724
#16
30.30.6
30.429.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End5.7
Second
122
#11
24.80.8
25.226.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
red by 6.7
8230
#45
18.10.6
18.718.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.6
Third
4638
#22
21.30.8
19.019.7
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
red by 4.1
4242
#42
17.20.6
17.316.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsEarned