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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547840601001206069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#24
27.50.4
23.824.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
blue by 1.7
384
#34
29.20.1
29.429.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Second
5587
#26
20.70.4
16.917.3
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End4.7
blue by 3.0
2421
#25
23.70.1
23.423.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End13.0
Third
612
#40
13.30.4
13.413.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End7.6
blue by 6.7
1895
#35
20.00.1
17.817.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsMissed