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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68733040506080901006568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#36
23.30.0
24.524.5
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End7.4
blue by 4.8
1610
#13
28.10.3
26.226.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
Second
5338
#27
22.70.0
21.121.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End6.2
blue by 5.1
5804
#32
27.80.3
27.227.0
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
Third
2199
#51
19.70.0
19.119.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End9.4
red by 5.7
3748
#48
13.90.3
14.514.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsMissed