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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7639020601001207831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#41
27.90.7
27.728.4
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
red by 9.0
6802
#58
18.90.7
19.218.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
Second
614
#28
21.00.7
21.622.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.2
End7.8
red by 6.8
1719
#43
14.20.7
14.713.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End5.0
Third
1123
#37
19.70.7
17.618.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End6.8
red by 11.2
6194
#59
8.50.7
7.97.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsMissed