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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7065204060801006276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#31
29.10.5
28.928.4
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End10.1
blue by 2.9
32.01.0
29.930.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End11.6
Second
4821
#20
21.40.5
22.221.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End3.2
red by 3.7
2914
#50
17.71.0
16.317.3
Auto10.2
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Third
8592
#49
14.70.5
14.113.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 2.3
6504
#23
17.01.0
15.316.3
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned