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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124625010015013175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.21.5
48.850.3
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End5.7
red by 14.3
31.90.6
33.233.8
Auto10.0
Teleop11.3
End10.6
Second
31.51.5
31.533.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End9.2
red by 15.2
3274
#56
16.30.6
15.916.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
Third
3136
#30
31.31.5
28.329.8
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End5.4
red by 15.5
3939
#47
15.80.6
17.317.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned