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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33540204060803942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4286
#46
16.60.3
15.415.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
blue by 0.8
2068
#53
17.30.6
15.514.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Second
2186
#57
13.30.3
12.312.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End4.1
blue by 1.8
1727
#52
15.10.6
16.716.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End4.4
Third
8622
#60
7.40.3
6.16.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End-0.9
blue by 6.0
6326
#44
13.40.6
15.614.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed