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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658920408010012014091108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#32
27.81.8
27.028.7
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
blue by 6.4
623
#8
34.21.3
31.132.4
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End12.1
Second
4638
#22
21.31.8
19.721.5
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
blue by 6.7
1610
#13
28.11.3
26.027.3
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
Third
1895
#35
20.01.8
17.719.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.9
End4.5
blue by 7.0
4541
#10
27.11.3
23.324.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned