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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70832040601001201401607593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#34
29.20.5
29.329.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End4.7
blue by 1.5
422
#15
30.61.1
28.129.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
Second
5338
#27
22.70.5
21.121.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End6.2
blue by 7.6
5724
#16
30.31.1
29.830.9
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End5.7
Third
4242
#42
17.20.5
16.717.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End7.6
blue by 1.7
6802
#58
18.91.1
18.519.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned