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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45108015053106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#11
24.80.2
26.026.2
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
blue by 14.5
836
#1
39.30.8
41.141.9
Auto13.6
Teleop17.6
End8.2
Second
2914
#50
17.70.2
17.317.5
Auto10.2
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 10.1
1262
#41
27.90.8
28.429.3
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
Third
6194
#59
8.50.2
7.27.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 19.0
4472
#24
27.50.8
24.125.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsEarned