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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506202040801001207473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#12
22.91.4
21.022.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End8.4
red by 0.2
116
#33
22.70.6
20.621.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End8.3
Second
2068
#53
17.31.4
14.816.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End2.9
blue by 3.0
620
#21
20.30.6
22.122.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End12.1
Third
2186
#57
13.31.4
12.714.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End4.1
blue by 0.1
612
#40
13.30.6
13.814.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned51%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned