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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608320401001206078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#14
29.30.0
29.629.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End6.9
red by 0.1
1086
#19
29.30.2
27.527.6
Auto6.3
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Second
4286
#46
16.60.0
16.816.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
blue by 7.1
2421
#25
23.70.2
23.223.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End13.0
Third
6326
#44
13.40.0
13.113.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End2.7
blue by 9.9
1599
#36
23.30.2
24.624.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed83%Hangar oddsEarned