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Red40
82835.3
569027.5
825017.5
Blue106
748515.6
161951.6
372924.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51692040608010040106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#13
27.50.7
23.923.2
Auto9.4
Teleop13.4
End4.6
blue by 24.1
51.62.6
43.245.9
Auto12.6
Teleop26.4
End12.7
Second
8250
#10
17.51.2
12.511.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End5.9
blue by 6.7
3729
#11
24.24.4
12.717.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.6
End10.5
Third
8283
#37
5.31.2
14.012.8
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.1
End1.8
blue by 10.3
7485
#22
15.64.4
6.811.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned