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Red52
133215.2
248629.6
77373.0
Blue53
364814.1
455015.7
299619.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404202060805253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.9
22.523.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End5.6
red by 9.7
2996
#17
19.90.9
20.121.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End5.7
Second
1332
#16
15.21.6
9.611.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End4.0
blue by 0.4
4550
#21
15.70.9
12.713.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End7.6
Third
7737
#39
3.01.6
5.97.4
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.2
blue by 11.1
3648
#36
14.11.5
6.37.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned