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Red51
337431.4
13033.3
17999.7
Blue37
124515.1
294518.6
20838.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54320204060801005137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.2
29.629.9
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End5.0
red by 12.8
2945
#12
18.60.3
12.512.8
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End6.6
Second
1799
#29
9.70.4
10.510.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End2.3
blue by 5.4
1245
#32
15.10.5
11.912.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End6.9
Third
1303
#31
3.30.4
7.37.7
Auto0.8
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 5.5
2083
#35
8.70.3
8.18.4
Auto5.3
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned