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Red42
224019.4
10118.7
72438.8
Blue25
833412.0
29725.2
203618.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403402060804225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.4
16.016.4
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End3.8
red by 0.6
2036
#20
18.81.3
11.29.9
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Second
7243
#28
8.80.6
7.58.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End3.8
blue by 3.2
8334
#27
12.01.3
12.411.2
Auto5.7
Teleop3.6
End2.7
Third
1011
#30
8.70.6
13.113.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End1.9
red by 3.5
2972
#41
5.21.3
8.87.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed