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Red60
372924.2
197713.0
66212.3
Blue59
320017.9
459327.8
748515.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415920801006059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#11
24.21.7
17.018.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.6
End10.5
blue by 3.6
4593
#14
27.80.1
25.926.0
Auto5.9
Teleop14.0
End7.8
Second
1977
#18
13.01.7
12.113.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End3.2
blue by 5.0
3200
#23
17.90.1
16.116.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End3.9
Third
662
#24
12.31.7
11.913.6
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End6.8
blue by 3.3
7485
#22
15.60.2
11.211.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsMissed