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Red41
299619.9
494410.8
15916.5
Blue108
406823.2
441816.8
161951.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459620608012014016041108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#17
19.90.8
21.120.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End5.7
blue by 31.7
51.61.1
45.947.0
Auto12.6
Teleop26.4
End12.7
Second
159
#15
16.51.3
12.210.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End10.2
blue by 6.7
23.21.1
23.824.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End7.0
Third
4944
#25
10.81.3
15.814.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End4.1
blue by 6.0
4418
#19
16.81.1
13.714.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned