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Red52
54938.8
133215.2
337431.4
Blue78
449928.3
141020.3
294518.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565830405070805278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.0
29.929.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End5.0
red by 3.1
28.31.6
26.428.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Second
1332
#16
15.20.1
11.111.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End4.0
blue by 5.0
20.31.6
14.816.4
Auto5.8
Teleop4.9
End9.5
Third
5493
#38
8.80.1
11.611.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.6
blue by 9.8
2945
#12
18.61.6
12.814.4
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned