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Red69
833412.0
441816.8
320017.9
Blue36
29725.2
459327.8
82835.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444920304060706936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#23
17.91.5
16.217.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End3.9
blue by 9.8
4593
#14
27.80.9
26.025.1
Auto5.9
Teleop14.0
End7.8
Second
4418
#19
16.81.5
14.816.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End4.7
red by 11.6
8283
#37
5.31.5
12.110.6
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.1
End1.8
Third
8334
#27
12.02.5
11.213.7
Auto5.7
Teleop3.6
End2.7
red by 6.8
2972
#41
5.21.5
7.56.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed