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Red70
197713.0
74793.7
161951.6
Blue55
455015.7
449928.3
77373.0
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73504060801001207055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.3
47.047.3
Auto12.6
Teleop26.4
End12.7
red by 23.3
28.30.1
28.028.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Second
1977
#18
13.00.5
13.814.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End3.2
blue by 2.7
4550
#21
15.70.1
14.614.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End7.6
Third
7479
#40
3.70.5
4.45.0
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.3
End1.6
red by 0.7
7737
#39
3.00.2
7.07.2
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned