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Red19
748515.6
494410.8
13033.3
Blue45
294518.6
57636.7
825017.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333310203040501945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7485
#22
15.61.4
11.410.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End6.8
blue by 3.1
2945
#12
18.61.0
14.415.4
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End6.6
Second
4944
#25
10.81.4
14.513.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End4.1
blue by 6.7
8250
#10
17.51.6
13.014.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End5.9
Third
1303
#31
3.31.4
5.44.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 3.4
5763
#34
6.71.6
3.24.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsEarned