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Red100
133215.2
161951.6
429321.7
Blue45
57636.7
248629.6
29725.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions932902040608010012014010045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.1
47.348.4
Auto12.6
Teleop26.4
End12.7
red by 22.0
29.60.6
25.025.6
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End5.6
Second
21.71.1
19.520.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End11.3
red by 15.0
5763
#34
6.71.0
4.85.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End-0.2
Third
1332
#16
15.21.9
12.414.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End4.0
red by 10.1
2972
#41
5.21.0
6.07.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed