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Red37
141020.3
66212.3
299619.9
Blue63
124515.1
449928.3
438811.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5553204060801003763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.0
17.516.5
Auto5.8
Teleop4.9
End9.5
blue by 8.0
28.30.6
28.128.7
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Second
2996
#17
19.91.0
19.618.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End5.7
red by 4.8
1245
#32
15.11.0
11.412.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End6.9
Third
662
#24
12.31.6
14.212.6
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End6.8
red by 1.1
4388
#26
11.21.0
10.611.6
Auto6.1
Teleop3.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsEarned