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Red61
748515.6
15916.5
455015.7
Blue30
17999.7
494410.8
54938.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403602060801001201406130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#15
16.52.5
12.414.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End10.2
red by 5.7
4944
#25
10.80.5
14.714.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End4.1
Second
4550
#21
15.71.6
14.916.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End7.6
red by 5.9
1799
#29
9.70.5
9.69.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Third
7485
#22
15.62.5
9.712.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End6.8
red by 6.7
5493
#38
8.80.5
10.39.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed