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Red84
161951.6
141020.3
29725.2
Blue83
294518.6
337431.4
364814.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81512040601001208483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.8
48.449.2
Auto12.6
Teleop26.4
End12.7
red by 20.2
31.41.0
28.929.9
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End5.0
Second
20.30.8
16.517.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.9
End9.5
red by 1.6
2945
#12
18.61.0
15.416.4
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End6.6
Third
2972
#41
5.21.2
7.08.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End-0.8
blue by 8.9
3648
#36
14.11.6
7.79.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed