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Red70
203618.8
449928.3
248629.6
Blue59
66212.3
320017.9
224019.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78472040601001207059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.1
26.927.0
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End5.6
red by 10.2
19.40.3
19.519.2
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End3.8
Second
28.30.1
27.627.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End4.4
red by 10.4
3200
#23
17.90.3
16.215.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End3.9
Third
2036
#20
18.80.1
14.414.5
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 6.5
662
#24
12.30.5
12.512.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsEarned