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Red42
15916.5
133215.2
17999.7
Blue18
82835.3
74793.7
13033.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45140204060804218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#15
16.50.3
15.315.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End10.2
red by 11.3
8283
#37
5.30.7
8.57.8
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.1
End1.8
Second
1332
#16
15.20.3
14.214.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End4.0
red by 11.6
7479
#40
3.70.6
4.84.1
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.3
End1.6
Third
1799
#29
9.70.3
9.09.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End2.3
red by 6.5
1303
#31
3.30.6
3.73.1
Auto0.8
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned5%Hangar oddsMissed