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Red45
17999.7
72438.8
197713.0
Blue53
66212.3
248629.6
20838.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225404060804553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1977
#18
13.01.3
9.811.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End3.2
blue by 16.6
29.60.4
27.027.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End5.6
Second
1799
#29
9.71.3
9.310.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End2.3
blue by 2.6
662
#24
12.30.5
12.012.6
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End6.8
Third
7243
#28
8.81.3
5.97.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End3.8
red by 0.1
2083
#35
8.70.4
7.47.9
Auto5.3
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsMissed