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Red70
224019.4
748515.6
124515.1
Blue38
77373.0
438811.2
429321.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534002060801007038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.9
19.220.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End3.8
blue by 2.3
21.70.3
23.022.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End11.3
Second
7485
#22
15.61.0
14.515.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End6.8
red by 4.4
4388
#26
11.20.4
13.012.6
Auto6.1
Teleop3.6
End1.5
Third
1245
#32
15.11.0
14.315.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End6.9
red by 12.1
7737
#39
3.00.4
3.22.7
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsMissed