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Red58
82835.3
299619.9
449928.3
Blue57
569027.5
13033.3
406823.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57594550556570755857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.0
27.027.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End4.4
red by 0.8
5690
#13
27.50.1
27.927.8
Auto9.4
Teleop13.4
End4.6
Second
2996
#17
19.90.0
20.320.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End5.7
blue by 3.3
23.20.1
23.723.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End7.0
Third
8283
#37
5.30.0
6.76.7
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.1
End1.8
red by 2.0
1303
#31
3.30.1
3.13.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed