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Red47
54938.8
320017.9
438610.3
Blue23
494410.8
29725.2
74793.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392101030506070804723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#23
17.90.6
17.718.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End3.9
red by 7.1
4944
#25
10.80.1
12.412.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End4.1
Second
4386
#33
10.30.7
8.29.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End3.1
red by 5.1
2972
#41
5.20.1
5.45.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End-0.8
Third
5493
#38
8.80.7
8.38.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.6
red by 5.2
7479
#40
3.70.1
4.24.2
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed