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Qual 842022 Colorado Regional
Red48
13033.3
429321.7
320017.9
Blue65
455015.7
54938.8
248629.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45602040801004865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4293
#8
21.70.3
22.6→22.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End11.3
blue by 7.9
2486
#3
29.60.1
29.1→29.0
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End5.6
Second
3200
#23
17.90.3
18.3→18.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End3.9
red by 2.3
4550
#21
15.70.1
16.1→16.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End7.6
Third
1303
#31
3.30.3
3.0→2.7
Auto0.8
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 5.6
5493
#38
8.80.1
8.9→8.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsMissed