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Red56
441816.8
294518.6
74793.7
Blue77
72438.8
406823.2
459327.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39682060801005677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#12
18.60.3
18.418.7
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End6.6
blue by 9.1
4593
#14
27.80.3
27.928.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.0
End7.8
Second
4418
#19
16.80.3
17.317.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End4.7
blue by 6.4
23.20.3
23.624.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End7.0
Third
7479
#40
3.70.3
4.24.5
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.3
End1.6
blue by 5.1
7243
#28
8.80.3
8.58.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned