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Red59
449928.3
57636.7
133215.2
Blue51
15916.5
438610.3
20838.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55300204060805951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.7
27.027.7
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End4.4
red by 11.8
159
#15
16.51.1
14.815.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End10.2
Second
1332
#16
15.20.7
15.215.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End4.0
red by 4.9
4386
#33
10.31.1
9.010.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End3.1
Third
5763
#34
6.70.7
5.96.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End-0.2
blue by 2.1
2083
#35
8.71.0
7.98.9
Auto5.3
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned