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Red52
429321.8
337429.8
54938.4
Blue42
364814.5
998810.6
299622.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693502060801001205242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.5
35.434.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End12.0
red by 6.9
22.90.2
13.713.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.9
End6.5
Second
21.80.5
19.819.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End13.4
red by 7.3
3648
#17
14.50.2
16.716.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End4.4
Third
5493
#21
8.40.5
5.04.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.2
End3.6
blue by 2.2
10.60.3
5.35.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed